….As Indonesia Reviews Country Import Deal
Uche Cecil Izuora
Data currently in circulation has shown that International Oil Companies (IOCs) operating in Nigeria have continued to bypass direct crude oil supply to local refineries, leading to an estimated 60 million barrels of stranded crude oil on the high seas.
This persistent disconnect was compounding Nigeria’s struggle to ramp up domestic refining capacity and maximise oil revenues.
Over 60 million barrels of Nigerian crude oil were reportedly stranded and unsold, floating in the high seas, as IOCs continued to bypass local refineries in breach of a legislation governing supply of crude oil to domestic refineries.
This is coming as the National President of the Petroleum Products Retail Outlet Owners Association (PETROAN) Billy Gillis-Harry, has said that the 83 refinery licences granted by the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority are an indication that Nigeria is attractive to investors in the oil and gas sector.
Gillis-Harry, said the licensed refineries will boost the country’s refining capacity to a combined total of 1,124,500.
He also emphasized the importance of making crude oil available for local refineries, noting that if the refineries must remain in business, adequate provision must be made for a sufficient volume of crude oil to be set aside for them.
“This achievement is a clear indication that the oil sector in Nigeria is becoming increasingly attractive to investors.
PETROAN further lauded key players role in the significant decline in petrol imports from 44.6 million litres per day in August 2024 to 14.7 million litres per day by April 13, 2025.
“It is a testament to the success of this initiative. As we move forward, PETROAN will continue to collaborate with the NMDPRA and other industry players to address challenges and capitalise on emerging opportunities.
“We are confident that Nigeria’s petroleum industry will experience significant growth and transformation in the coming years,” he stated.
The breakdown of refinery licences includes 8 refineries with Licences to Operate (LTO), 30 refineries with Licences to Construct (LTC), and 45 refineries with Licences to Establish (LTE).
Harry highlighted two key benefits of making crude oil available for local refineries: “Increased domestic production of petroleum products, thereby reducing reliance on imported products and conserving foreign exchange.
“Creation of jobs and stimulation of economic growth, as local refineries would be able to operate at optimal capacity and contribute significantly to Nigeria’s GDP.”
Meanwhile, Indonesia is reportedly taking steps to reduce its oil and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) imports from Nigeria.
This is as the country looks to boost energy trade with the United States by up to $10 billion, its Energy Minister, Bahlil Lahadalia, disclosed on Tuesday.
According to a Reuters report citing Kpler data, Indonesia imported about 217,000 barrels per day (bpd) of LPG in 2024, with the U.S. accounting for roughly 124,000 bpd. Crude oil imports totaled approximately 306,000 bpd, sourced mainly from Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, and Angola. Of that, the U.S. supplied only about 13,000 bpd.
To support a broader plan to purchase between $18 billion and $19 billion worth of U.S. goods and avoid a proposed 32% tariff on Indonesian exports, the energy ministry is recommending an increase in LPG and crude oil imports from the U.S.
“This would mean cutting back imports from other countries,” said Putra Adhiguna, Managing Director at the Energy Shift Institute. “Depending on existing contracts, Indonesia could reduce LPG imports from non-U.S. sources by 20% to 30%.”
State energy firm Pertamina, Indonesia’s largest LPG distributor, confirmed that it is reviewing its import strategy in light of the government’s proposal.
Should this policy proceed, oil-exporting nations like Nigeria may see a reduction in their share of Indonesia’s energy import market.
According to unverified documents, despite binding provisions under Nigeria’s Petroleum Industry Act (PIA), several IOCs have continued to prioritise foreign oil traders over domestic refinery operators — a move analysts described as both exploitative and damaging to the country’s energy security.
Under Sections 8(c) and 109 of the PIA, the Domestic Crude Supply Obligations (DCSO) require producers to sell crude oil to Nigerian refineries to ensure adequate feedstock for domestic refining. However, IOCs have been accused of sidestepping this requirement by selling to foreign traders — predominantly in the Far East, Mediterranean Region and Southern Africa — who then resell the same crude to Nigeria at a premium of $5 to $6 per barrel above global benchmarks.
This practice has left local refineries effectively priced out of their own market.
“IOCs offer crude to local refineries at a significantly higher premium compared to the prices they charge in other international markets. This is nothing but a coordinated effort to undermine the survival of Nigerian refineries, which pose a threat to international refineries owned by some of these IOCs,” said Bimbo Oyarinu, a public affairs analyst. “Instead of supplying local refineries that are desperate for crude, these IOCs prefer to sell to traders who add a premium and eventually bring the same crude back to Nigeria — at a much higher cost.”
An energy expert, Dan Kunle, explained that many cargoes were floating on the high seas due to the recent drop in global oil prices, as there now exist disagreements among crude oil sellers and buyers on price.
“Unfortunately, when prices fall, such disagreements often lead to the floating of cargoes on the seas, as sellers will be looking for buyers who can buy at favourable prices. Most of the vessels carrying the oil are on charter, which means costs continue to accrue while the cargo remains unsold or undelivered. At a time like this, everybody loses,” Kunle said.
Nigeria’s crude sales are mostly done in advance. The question on everyone’s mind is: Why can’t the stranded crude be channelled into domestic use since the country now has a domestic refining capacity that can accommodate more crude?
Kunle said, “Ideally, this arrangement should not take Nigeria more than one month. We should be dynamic and transparent.”
The Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC), which is mandated to enforce the PIA, has come under scrutiny for failing to ensure compliance. While the Commission has repeatedly issued warnings to oil producers, critics argued that enforcement has been largely symbolic.
In a letter dated February 2, 2025, NUPRC chief executive officer, Gbenga Komolafe, warned oil firms that crude designated for domestic refining must not be exported.
“The diversion of crude cargo designated for domestic refineries is a contravention of the law,” Komolafe wrote. “The Commission will henceforth disallow export permits for such cargoes.”
Sources within the oil sector say the practice has persisted unabated, raising doubts over the regulator’s ability or willingness to impose meaningful sanctions. They alleged that the Commission was more interested in pursuing clandestine deals than in enforcing compliance with the law of the land.
“The sad commentary is that these IOCs continue to exploit the system with little or no regulatory consequence,” said a senior industry analyst who declined to be named. “Local refiners are bidding, but they’re being ignored. Instead, cargoes are being routed thousands of miles away only to circle back. This isn’t just inefficient. it’s exploitative and the NUPRC is complicity in this act.”
Nigeria’s refining sector has seen a wave of new investment in recent years, with modular and mega refineries — including the Dangote Petroleum Refinery — aiming to cut the nation’s dependence on imported fuels. Yet many of these facilities are unable to source local crude, threatening to derail billions of dollars in investment.
The Crude Oil Refinery-owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) has repeatedly criticised the regulatory regime for failing to allocate sufficient crude to local refineries. The group argues that preference is still given to the issuance of fuel import licences over supporting domestic refining.
CORAN’s national publicity secretary, Eche Idoko, recently disclosed that crude supply shortages have stalled the progress of at least seven refineries.
“The major challenge is availability of crude,” said Idoko. “Until recently, Nigeria was not even meeting its OPEC production quota. For refineries to reach Final Investment Decision (FID) stages, they need guaranteed feedstock. The situation right now is not helping our case.”
He added that refineries such as the Edo Refinery, which plans to expand to 30,000 barrels per day, are now in talks with US-based crude suppliers. Only a few, like Walter Smith Refinery and Aradel Energy, which operate on their own marginal fields, are able to refine intermittently.
“Other modular refineries have not refined a single litre in the last six to eight months,” Idoko lamented.
Nigerian refineries are now being forced to import crude oil to keep running. The Dangote Petroleum Refinery and other modular plants could spend up to $8.56 billion to import approximately 122.4 million barrels of crude oil over the next six months.
That translates to an import bill of about $1.43 billion per month — a staggering cost for a country with some of the largest oil reserves in Africa.
Dangote’s refinery has already sourced crude from countries including the United States, Angola, and Algeria, as local supply remains inadequate.
As Nigeria continues to face foreign exchange shortages, rising inflation, and a sluggish economic recovery, many industry stakeholders believe the government must act decisively.