Nigeria To Spend N3 Trillion In Petrol Subsidy In Next 12 Months

Can Nigeria afford petrol at N500? – Nairametrics

…Paid $2.2Bn In 8 Months Of 2021

Yemisi Izuora

The Federal Government is bleeding seriously borrowing to make petrol cheap, which has cost it about $2.2 billion or N904 billion in the first eight months of 2021.

With rising crude price if government retains petrol price at regulated regime, the coming twelve months will cost the government N3 trillion in subsidy payment.

Information being spread by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, NNPC indicates that Nigeria could spend more on fuel and power subsidies this year than it raised through a Eurobond offering last month.

With the price of crude surging, that figure could surpass N1.5 trillion by the end of the year, Bloomberg reports.

On top of that, President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration is on track to spend an additional N300 billion over the course of the year to maintain power tariffs that don’t reflect the cost of producing and distributing electricity, Ben Akabueze, director-general of Nigeria’s budget office, said on Tuesday.

Combined, the interventions would surpass the $4 billion the government raised through a Eurobond in September.

The subsidies are depriving the cash-strapped nation of much needed revenue at a time when servicing debt is consuming about 70 per cent of government income — more than the $3.8 billion budgeted for health and education in 2021.

Buhari has shelved plans announced last March to eliminate the costly fuel subsidies. While senior government officials acknowledge the need to phase them out, doing so is politically risky especially with elections on the horizon in early 2023. Many Nigerians regard affordable gasoline as their single dependable benefit from the country’s misspent oil wealth.

Petrol prices, which at 39 cents a liter are among the cheapest globally, have remained unchanged since December, leaving the NNPC, the country’s sole importer of the fuel, to shoulder growing losses as Brent crude has climbed steadily, reaching $86 a barrel.

If prices aren’t permitted to rise, fuel subsidies could cost the NNPC almost N3 trillion  over the next 12 months, Shubham Chaudhuri, the World Bank’s country director for Nigeria, said Monday.

Despite producing about 1.5 million barrels of oil a day, Nigeria relies on imports for all its petrol needs because government owned refineries fell into disrepair. A portion of these shipments is smuggled to nearby countries where the product is much more expensive.

“Nigeria is subsidizing the entire West African region,” Minister of Power Abubakar Aliyu said on Tuesday.

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